Exchange rulebook

Contract specification

Betluku is an exchange, not a bookmaker's book. You trade contracts against other members at prices they set. This page is the binding specification for how those contracts are priced, matched and settled. For the wider policy on sources and disputes see the resolution policy.

1. The contract

Unit
One contract is one share in a single outcome. It settles at exactly KES 1.00 if that outcome happens, or KES 0.00 if it does not.
Price
Prices run from 1¢ to 99¢ and read directly as probability. A share bought at 38¢ costs KES 0.38 and returns KES 1.00 if it wins — a profit of KES 0.62.
YES and NO
Every trade pairs a YES buyer with a NO buyer. The two prices always sum to KES 1.00, so the KES 1.00 paid to the winner is fully funded by the two sides at the moment of the fill. Betluku never takes the other side of your trade.
Currency
All contracts are denominated and settled in Kenya shillings. There is no leverage and no margin — your maximum loss on a position is what you paid for it.

2. Fees

Fees are set per contract and shown on each market's ticket before you confirm. Takers pay a probability-weighted fee capped at 3% of trade cost. Fees are charged on the filled amount only, shown on the order ticket before you confirm, and itemised on the receipt afterwards.

There is no deposit fee and no charge for placing or cancelling an unfilled order. Withdrawals carry a flat KES 30 processing fee. Your mobile-money provider may charge separately.

3. Orders, matching and holds

Market order
Fills immediately against the best resting prices, up to a slippage cap you set. Any unfilled remainder is cancelled rather than left resting.
Limit order
Rests in the book at your price until it fills, you cancel it, or the market closes.
Time in force
GTC rests until cancelled. GTD expires at a time you set. FOK must fill in full immediately or cancel. FAK fills what it can and cancels the rest. POST ONLY never takes liquidity.
Holds
Buying holds cash from your spendable balance for the full cost plus fee until the order fills or is cancelled. Selling holds the shares themselves. Held funds show as reserved in your wallet and are released the moment an order is cancelled or a market resolves.

Matching is price-then-time priority in a central limit order book. A house liquidity provider quotes both sides of every open contract so there is always a price to trade against, but it has no priority over member orders.

4. Settlement

Each contract names a single public source before it opens. That wording cannot be changed once trading begins. At resolution, every resting order in the market is cancelled and its hold refunded, winning shares are credited at KES 1.00 each, and losing shares go to zero. Settlement is a single atomic operation — you never see a partly-settled wallet.

VOID. A contract voids when the named source is never published, the event is cancelled, or the outcome is genuinely undeterminable from the source. A void contract refunds every position at its average cost — not at KES 1.00. Nobody wins or loses on a void.

Revisions. Markets settle on the figure as first published. A later revision to an official statistic does not reopen a settled contract.

5. Limits and eligibility

Deposits
Minimum KES 50 per M-Pesa deposit.
Withdrawals
Minimum KES 100. Maximum KES 200,000 per Nairobi calendar day. Payouts are reviewed by an operator, usually within two hours.
Eligibility
18+ and resident in Kenya. Operated by Smartwin Ltd under BCLB Bookmaker's Licence No. 0000279.
Responsible play
Deposit limits, cool-offs and self-exclusion are available at any time — see responsible play.

6. Listed contracts (42)

Generated live from the exchange, so it always matches what is actually trading.

Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 15:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 21:00
Settlement source
Coinbase ETH-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC.
  • Settlement source: Coinbase ETH-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC on Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the 21:00 UTC price is strictly above the same price 24 hours earlier.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or below the previous day's 21:00 UTC price.
  • Resolves VOID if Coinbase publishes no price at the reference time.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 15:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 21:00
Settlement source
Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC.
  • Settlement source: Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC on Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the 21:00 UTC price is strictly above the same price 24 hours earlier.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or below the previous day's 21:00 UTC price.
  • Resolves VOID if Coinbase publishes no price at the reference time.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 06:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 16:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily record, Kisumu.
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department daily maximum temperature for Kisumu, Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the recorded daily maximum is strictly above 30.0°C.
  • Resolves NO if it is 30.0°C or below.
  • Resolves VOID if no record is published for the station.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 06:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 16:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily record, Kisumu.
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department rainfall record for Kisumu, Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if recorded rainfall reaches 0.1 mm or more between 00:00 and 18:00 EAT on the reference day.
  • Resolves NO if the station records less than 0.1 mm over that window.
  • Resolves VOID if no record is published for the station.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 06:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 16:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily record, Mombasa (Moi International Airport).
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department daily maximum temperature for Mombasa (Moi International Airport), Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the recorded daily maximum is strictly above 32.0°C.
  • Resolves NO if it is 32.0°C or below.
  • Resolves VOID if no record is published for the station.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 06:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 16:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily record, Mombasa (Moi International Airport).
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department rainfall record for Mombasa (Moi International Airport), Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if recorded rainfall reaches 0.1 mm or more between 00:00 and 18:00 EAT on the reference day.
  • Resolves NO if the station records less than 0.1 mm over that window.
  • Resolves VOID if no record is published for the station.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 06:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 16:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily record, Nairobi (Dagoretti Corner).
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department daily maximum temperature for Nairobi (Dagoretti Corner), Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the recorded daily maximum is strictly above 26.0°C.
  • Resolves NO if it is 26.0°C or below.
  • Resolves VOID if no record is published for the station.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 06:00
Resolves by
19 Sept 2026, 16:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily record, Nairobi (Dagoretti Corner).
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department rainfall record for Nairobi (Dagoretti Corner), Saturday 19 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if recorded rainfall reaches 0.1 mm or more between 00:00 and 18:00 EAT on the reference day.
  • Resolves NO if the station records less than 0.1 mm over that window.
  • Resolves VOID if no record is published for the station.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 12:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
LBMA Gold Price PM auction (USD per troy ounce).
  • Settlement source: LBMA Gold Price PM auction in USD for Friday 18 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the PM auction price is strictly above the previous published PM auction price.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or below the previous published price.
  • Resolves VOID if no PM auction price is published for the reference day.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 14:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 22:00
Settlement source
S&P Dow Jones Indices official closing level for the S&P 500.
  • Settlement source: official S&P 500 closing level for Friday 18 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the official close is strictly above the previous session's close.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or below the previous close.
  • Resolves VOID if US equity markets do not trade a full session on the reference day.
eth-daily-2026-09-18
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 15:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 21:00
Settlement source
Coinbase ETH-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC.
  • Settlement source: Coinbase ETH-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC on Friday 18 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the 21:00 UTC price is strictly above the same price 24 hours earlier.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or below the previous day's 21:00 UTC price.
  • Resolves VOID if Coinbase publishes no price at the reference time.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 15:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 21:00
Settlement source
Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC.
  • Settlement source: Coinbase BTC-USD spot price at 21:00 UTC on Friday 18 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the 21:00 UTC price is strictly above the same price 24 hours earlier.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or below the previous day's 21:00 UTC price.
  • Resolves VOID if Coinbase publishes no price at the reference time.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 15:00
Settlement source
Central Bank of Kenya official daily indicative exchange rate.
  • Settlement source: Central Bank of Kenya official daily indicative EUR/KES rate for Friday 18 September 2026.
  • Measurement: the published mean rate, rounded to two decimals.
  • Resolves YES if the rate is strictly higher than the previous published trading day's mean rate.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or lower than the previous published rate.
  • Resolves VOID if CBK publishes no rate for the reference day.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 15:00
Settlement source
Central Bank of Kenya official daily indicative exchange rate.
  • Settlement source: Central Bank of Kenya official daily indicative USD/KES rate for Friday 18 September 2026.
  • Measurement: the published mean rate, rounded to two decimals.
  • Resolves YES if the rate is strictly higher than the previous published trading day's mean rate.
  • Resolves NO if it is equal to or lower than the previous published rate.
  • Resolves VOID if CBK publishes no rate for the reference day.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
20 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Premier League official results (premierleague.com).
  • Settlement source: Premier League official result for the weekend's featured fixture, due by Thursday 17 September 2026.
  • The featured fixture is the televised Saturday evening kick-off (UK time); if none is scheduled, the highest-profile Saturday fixture by league position is used.
  • Resolves YES if the home side wins in regulation time.
  • Resolves NO if the fixture ends in a draw or an away win.
  • Resolves VOID if the fixture is postponed or abandoned.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
20 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
FKF Premier League official match result (fkf.co.ke).
  • Settlement source: FKF Premier League official result for AFC Leopards' next competitive fixture after the close, due by Thursday 17 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if AFC Leopards win the fixture in regulation time.
  • Resolves NO if the fixture ends in a draw or an AFC Leopards loss.
  • Resolves VOID if no fixture is played within the window or the match is abandoned.
Trading closes
19 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
20 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
FKF Premier League official match result (fkf.co.ke).
  • Settlement source: FKF Premier League official result for Gor Mahia's next competitive fixture after the close, due by Thursday 17 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if Gor Mahia win the fixture in regulation time.
  • Resolves NO if the fixture ends in a draw or a Gor Mahia loss.
  • Resolves VOID if no fixture is played within the window or the match is abandoned.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Official club announcements (club website or verified club social accounts).
  • Settlement source: official announcement on the signing club's website or verified social account during the week beginning Monday 14 September 2026.
  • The player must have at least one senior Harambee Stars cap.
  • Resolves YES on an official signing announcement (permanent or loan) to a club in a UEFA member league.
  • Resolves NO if no qualifying announcement is made during the window.
  • Rumours and media reports do not count; only official club announcements settle this market.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Public YouTube view counters on the relevant official artist channels.
  • Settlement source: public YouTube view counts for music videos by Kenyan artists first published in the week beginning Monday 14 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if any qualifying video shows at least 1,000,000 views by the close of the window.
  • Resolves NO if no qualifying video reaches 1,000,000 views within the window.
  • Views must appear on the official artist or label channel; reuploads do not count.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Boomplay Kenya official weekly Top 100 chart (boomplay.com).
  • Settlement source: Boomplay Kenya official weekly Top 100 chart covering the week beginning Monday 14 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the #1 track on the chart is by a Kenyan artist (lead or billed feature).
  • Resolves NO if the #1 track is by a non-Kenyan lead artist with no Kenyan billed feature.
  • Resolves VOID if Boomplay publishes no weekly chart for the window.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Business Daily Africa and Nation reporting citing Nairobi route operators.
  • Settlement sources: Business Daily Africa and Nation reporting for the week beginning Monday 14 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if either source reports a fare increase of at least KES 10 across two or more named major Nairobi commuter routes.
  • Resolves NO if no qualifying increase is reported.
  • Resolves VOID if neither source publishes usable route-fare reporting during the window.
Trading closes
18 Sept 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
18 Sept 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority official pump-price notice.
  • Settlement source: EPRA official maximum petroleum pump-price notice for the week beginning Monday 14 September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the Nairobi super-petrol maximum price differs from the preceding official notice.
  • Resolves NO if the published ceiling is unchanged.
  • Resolves VOID if EPRA publishes no applicable notice within the contract window.
Trading closes
31 Oct 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
05 Nov 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Kenya Film Commission official announcement.
  • Settlement source: Kenya Film Commission official announcement of Kenya's submission for the Academy Awards Best International Feature Film category.
  • Resolves YES if an official submission is announced on or before 31 October 2026.
  • Resolves NO if no submission is announced by that date.
  • Resolves VOID if the Academy cancels the category.
ent-afrimma-kenya-2026
Trading closes
30 Nov 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
05 Dec 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
AFRIMMA official winners list (afrimma.com).
  • Settlement source: AFRIMMA 2026 official winners list across all categories.
  • Resolves YES if at least one winner is a Kenyan artist or group (lead artist).
  • Resolves NO if no Kenyan lead artist wins any category.
  • Resolves VOID if the 2026 ceremony does not take place by 31 December 2026.
Trading closes
30 Dec 2026, 09:00
Resolves by
31 Dec 2026, 18:00
Settlement source
Kalasha International Film & TV Awards official winners list (kalasha.co.ke / Kenya Film Commission).
  • Settlement source: the official Kalasha International Film & TV Awards 2026 winners list.
  • Resolves YES if the Best Feature Film winner is a Kenyan production (majority Kenyan production company or director).
  • Resolves NO if the winner is a non-Kenyan production.
  • Resolves VOID if the 2026 ceremony does not take place by 31 December 2026.
Trading closes
30 Sept 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
05 Oct 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
Agriculture and Food Authority (AFA) or Ministry of Agriculture price bulletins.
  • Settlement source: AFA or Ministry of Agriculture weekly retail price bulletin for Nairobi.
  • Measurement: the published average retail price of a 90 kg bag of dry white maize in Nairobi.
  • Timing: resolves within 3 business days of the last bulletin in September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the published average is strictly above KES 4,500.
  • Resolves VOID if no official price bulletin is published for the reference period.
Trading closes
30 Sept 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
05 Oct 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA) monthly price release.
  • Settlement source: EPRA maximum retail pump price release for Nairobi effective 30 September 2026.
  • Measurement: the published maximum retail price of super petrol in Nairobi, in Kenyan shillings per litre.
  • Timing: resolves within 24 hours of EPRA publishing the price schedule.
  • Resolves YES if the published price is strictly above KES 185.00.
  • Resolves VOID if EPRA does not publish a price schedule for the reference period.
Trading closes
30 Sept 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
05 Oct 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
East African Tea Trade Association (EATTA) weekly auction reports.
  • Settlement source: EATTA weekly Mombasa auction summary for the last sale in September 2026.
  • Measurement: the published average price per kg in US dollars for the Mombasa tea auction.
  • Timing: resolves within 3 business days of the last September auction report.
  • Resolves YES if the published average is strictly above USD 2.80.
  • Resolves VOID if EATTA does not hold or report a Mombasa auction in September 2026.
Trading closes
30 Sept 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
10 Oct 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department daily observations.
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department daily observations for September 2026.
  • Measurement: the highest daily maximum temperature recorded at the official KMD Nairobi reference station, in degrees Celsius.
  • Timing: resolves within 5 business days of month end.
  • Resolves YES if any day in September records a maximum strictly above 28°C.
  • Resolves VOID if KMD does not publish daily temperature data for the month.
nairobi-rain-sep-2026-above-80
Trading closes
30 Sept 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
10 Oct 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department monthly summary.
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department monthly weather summary for September 2026.
  • Measurement: total rainfall recorded at the Jomo Kenyatta International Airport or official KMD Nairobi reference station, in millimetres.
  • Timing: resolves within 5 business days of KMD publishing the monthly summary.
  • Resolves YES if the recorded total is strictly above 80 mm.
  • Resolves VOID if KMD does not publish a Nairobi rainfall total for the month.
Trading closes
30 Sept 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
05 Oct 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
Agriculture and Food Authority (AFA) or Ministry of Agriculture price bulletins.
  • Settlement source: AFA or Ministry of Agriculture weekly retail price bulletin for Nairobi.
  • Measurement: the published average retail price of a 50 kg bag of white refined sugar in Nairobi.
  • Timing: resolves within 3 business days of the last bulletin in September 2026.
  • Resolves YES if the published average is strictly above KES 8,000.
  • Resolves VOID if no official price bulletin is published for the reference period.
usdkes-eoy-band
Trading closes
31 Dec 2026, 12:00
Resolves by
05 Jan 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
CBK indicative FX rate, last banking day of 2026.
  • Settlement source: CBK mean indicative exchange rate for USD/KES, last banking day of 2026.
  • Measurement: the mean indicative rate published by the Central Bank of Kenya, rounded to two decimals.
  • Timing: resolves within 30 minutes of the CBK rate being published for the reference day.
  • Exactly one band resolves YES; every other band resolves NO. Band boundaries are inclusive of the lower bound and exclusive of the upper bound.
  • Resolves VOID if the CBK publishes no indicative rate for the reference period.
safari-rally-2027
Trading closes
25 Mar 2027, 15:00
Resolves by
30 Mar 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
FIA WRC official classification.
  • Settlement source: FIA World Rally Championship official final classification for Safari Rally Kenya 2027.
  • Measurement: the driver classified first in the official final classification, including after any post-event penalties applied within 24 hours.
  • Timing: resolves within 24 hours of the official classification being published.
  • Resolves YES for the winning driver; all other listed drivers resolve NO. Any winner not listed resolves the FIELD outcome YES.
  • Resolves VOID if the rally is cancelled or abandoned without a classified winner.
Trading closes
31 Dec 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
31 Mar 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
Central Bank of Kenya annual national payments report for 2026.
  • Settlement source: Central Bank of Kenya national payments statistics for calendar year 2026.
  • Measurement: total mobile-money transaction value in nominal Kenya shillings for January to December 2026.
  • Timing: resolves within 72 hours of the CBK publishing the full-year figure.
  • Resolves YES if the published total exceeds KES 8 trillion.
  • Resolves VOID if CBK publishes no full-year 2026 mobile-money value by 30 June 2027.
Trading closes
31 Dec 2027, 20:59
Resolves by
15 Jan 2028, 09:00
Settlement source
Official Sauti Sol social channels or verified press release.
  • Settlement source: an official Sauti Sol channel or a verified press release from the group or its management.
  • Measurement: a public announcement of a reunion tour featuring all four original members.
  • Timing: resolves within 48 hours of the announcement.
  • Resolves YES if a full-group tour of two or more announced dates is confirmed on or before 31 December 2027. Solo shows and one-off festival appearances do not count.
  • Resolves VOID only if the group publicly disbands with a formal statement before any announcement.
harambee-afcon-2027
Trading closes
30 Nov 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
15 Dec 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
CAF official qualification announcement.
  • Settlement source: CAF official announcement of the AFCON 2027 final tournament participants.
  • Measurement: Kenya (Harambee Stars) appearing on the confirmed finals list, whether by qualification, play-off or host-nation berth.
  • Timing: resolves within 24 hours of CAF confirming the full finals line-up.
  • Resolves YES if Kenya appears on the confirmed AFCON 2027 finals list.
  • Resolves VOID if AFCON 2027 is cancelled or no finals list is published before 30 June 2027.
Trading closes
31 Dec 2026, 12:00
Resolves by
05 Jan 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
NSE 20 official closing level, 31 Dec 2026.
  • Settlement source: NSE official published NSE 20 Share Index closing level for 31 December 2026.
  • Measurement: the official index level, rounded to two decimals.
  • Timing: if 31 December is not a trading day, the last NSE trading day of 2026 is used.
  • Resolves YES if the closing level is strictly above 2,200.00.
  • Resolves VOID if the NSE publishes no NSE 20 level for the reference period.
Trading closes
31 Dec 2026, 12:00
Resolves by
05 Jan 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
NSE daily official closing price bulletin, 31 Dec 2026.
  • Settlement source: Nairobi Securities Exchange daily official price list for 31 December 2026.
  • Measurement: the official closing price of Safaricom PLC (SCOM), not the intraday or VWAP price, rounded to two decimals.
  • Timing: if 31 December is not a trading day, the last NSE trading day of 2026 is used. Resolves within 30 minutes of publication.
  • Resolves YES if the closing price is strictly above KES 22.00.
  • Resolves VOID if SCOM is suspended for the whole reference week or the NSE publishes no closing list for the period.
Trading closes
30 Nov 2026, 20:59
Resolves by
10 Dec 2026, 09:00
Settlement source
Kenya Meteorological Department Nairobi (Dagoretti) monthly bulletin.
  • Settlement source: Kenya Meteorological Department monthly bulletin for the Nairobi (Dagoretti Corner) station.
  • Measurement: total recorded rainfall for November 2026 in millimetres, rounded to one decimal.
  • Timing: resolves within 48 hours of the KMD monthly bulletin being published.
  • Resolves YES if the recorded November total is strictly greater than 200.0 mm.
  • Resolves VOID if KMD publishes no November 2026 total for the Dagoretti Corner station.
Trading closes
15 Aug 2027, 20:59
Resolves by
31 Aug 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
IEBC official declaration of the 2027 presidential winner.
  • Settlement source: IEBC official gazetted declaration of the 2027 presidential result.
  • Measurement: the person the IEBC declares President-elect, including after any runoff.
  • Timing: resolves within 24 hours of the IEBC final declaration; if the result is annulled and a rerun ordered, the market resolves on the final declaration of the rerun.
  • Resolves YES if William Ruto is the declared winner. Resolves NO for any other declared winner.
  • Resolves VOID if no presidential result is declared on or before 31 December 2027.
odm-2027-nominee
Trading closes
30 Apr 2027, 20:59
Resolves by
15 May 2027, 09:00
Settlement source
Official ODM National Delegates Convention resolution.
  • Settlement source: official ODM National Delegates Convention resolution or the candidate ODM files with the IEBC.
  • Measurement: the single presidential candidate ODM fields on the 2027 ballot.
  • Timing: resolves within 48 hours of the IEBC candidate register being published.
  • Resolves YES for the named candidate ODM fields; all other listed outcomes resolve NO.
  • Resolves VOID if ODM fields no presidential candidate, or backs a coalition candidate not listed here.