Will Ruto's approval rating exceed 40% in the September 2026 TIFA poll?

Volume

KES 7.9M

Liquidity

KES 1.9M

Expires

30 Sep 2026

Leading outcome

No · 66%

Yes · live fills

34¢+7¢

100¢50¢0¢

04:4916:4904:49

Live bids & implied asks. Match when YES + NO ≥ 100¢.

Last YES

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Last NO

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YES · Yes

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no spread

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NO · Yes

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Resolves 30 Sep 2026

TIFA's monthly tracker is Kenya's most-cited approval benchmark. Ruto's last reading came in at 38%.

Resolution source

TIFA Research monthly presidential approval poll, September 2026 release.

Contract rules

Resolves YES if the headline approval figure in TIFA's September 2026 poll is strictly above 40%.
If TIFA does not publish a September poll, the closest subsequent release before 31 Oct 2026 is used.
Only the nationwide headline number counts; regional breakdowns are excluded.

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