Will William Ruto win the 2027 Kenyan presidential election?
Volume
KES 22.4M
Liquidity
KES 5.3M
Expires
31 Aug 2027
Leading outcome
No · 52%
Price history
Yes · live fills
Order book
Live bids & implied asks. Match when YES + NO ≥ 100¢.
Last YES
—
Last NO
—
YES · Yes
—
no spread
No orders
NO · Yes
—
no spread
No orders
Recent fills
No fills yet. Post a limit order to open the book.
Rules & resolution
Resolves 31 Aug 2027Raila Odinga's death in October 2025 has fractured the opposition. Ruto faces a fragmented field heading into 2027 — trade his re-election odds.
IEBC official presidential results gazette for the 2027 general election.
- Resolves YES if IEBC declares William Ruto the winner of the 2027 presidential election.
- A runoff victory counts as YES.
- If the election is annulled and not re-run before 31 Dec 2027, the market resolves N/A and refunds.
- Withdrawal or disqualification before polling day resolves NO.
Related markets
Economy & Forex
Where will the KES/USD close on 31 August 2026?
Vol KES 18.7M · 4 outcomes
Politics KE
Will Ruto's approval rating exceed 40% in the September 2026 TIFA poll?
Vol KES 7.9M · 2 outcomes
Politics KE
Who will be the opposition flagbearer for the 2027 presidential election?
Vol KES 21.6M · 4 outcomes