Economy
Will M-PESA average daily transaction value exceed KES 100B in August 2026?
Volume
KES 6.3M
Liquidity
KES 1.5M
Expires
15 Sep 2026
Leading outcome
No · 62%
Price history
Yes · live fills
38¢+6¢
100¢50¢0¢
04:4816:4804:48
Order book
Live bids & implied asks. Match when YES + NO ≥ 100¢.
Last YES
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Last NO
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YES · Yes
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no spread
No orders
NO · Yes
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no spread
No orders
Recent fills
No fills yet. Post a limit order to open the book.
Rules & resolution
Resolves 15 Sep 2026M-PESA daily throughput crossed KES 90B for the first time in Q2 2026. The KES 100B milestone is now within striking distance.
Resolution source
Safaricom monthly operational update or CBK National Payments Statistics for August 2026.
Contract rules
- Resolves YES if the reported August 2026 M-PESA average daily transaction value strictly exceeds KES 100 billion.
- The first of Safaricom's or CBK's published figures takes precedence.
- If neither is published by 15 Sep 2026, the market resolves N/A and refunds.