Economy
Will the October–December 2026 short rains be above average nationally?
Volume
KES 3.7M
Liquidity
KES 900K
Expires
15 Jan 2027
Leading outcome
Yes · 57%
Price history
Yes · live fills
57¢+6¢
100¢50¢0¢
04:5016:5004:50
Order book
Live bids & implied asks. Match when YES + NO ≥ 100¢.
Last YES
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Last NO
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YES · Yes
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no spread
No orders
NO · Yes
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no spread
No orders
Recent fills
No fills yet. Post a limit order to open the book.
Rules & resolution
Resolves 15 Jan 2027IGAD's ICPAC outlook signals a wetter-than-average short-rains season on emerging La Niña conditions.
Resolution source
Kenya Meteorological Department OND 2026 seasonal review.
Contract rules
- Resolves YES if KMD's OND 2026 seasonal review classifies national rainfall as 'above average' or 'much above average'.
- The headline national classification is used, not regional breakdowns.